• The Rams’ operating sport is prospering: Los Angeles boasts a 31% conversion price and a 39% profitable run price, each rating first within the league.
• Commanders QBs are shining on intermediate passes: Both Commanders quarterbacks have been wonderful on intermediate throws (10-19 yards downfield) this season, as Jayden Daniels‘ 95.3 passing grade on these throws leads all quarterbacks, whereas Marcus Mariota’s 95.1 grade ranks second.
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Estimated studying time: 9 minutes
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MIN@LAR | TEN@DET | BAL@CLE | GB@JAX | IND@HOU | ARI@MIA ATL@TB | CHI@WAS | NYJ@NE | BUF@SEA | NO@LAC | PHI@CIN | KC@LV CAR@DEN | DAL@SF | NYG@PIT
MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS. LOS ANGELES RAMS
At first look, edge rusher Jonathan Greenard‘s team-leading 38 pressures could seem like a byproduct of Minnesota’s blitz-heavy defensive scheme. But that’s not really the case. When the Vikings don’t blitz, Greenard has gained 19.5% of his move rushes and pressured the quarterback on 24.8% of these reps. His 28 complete pressures generated and not using a workforce move blitz ranks simply behind Nick Bosa’s 37 and Aidan Hutchinson’s 36 this season.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles boasts a 31% conversion price and a 39% profitable run price, each rating first within the league. In distinction, the Vikings have allowed the third-lowest success price on designed run performs at 25%, properly under the league common of 30%.
TENNESSEE TITANS VS. DETROIT LIONS
This season, 22% of the passes the Tennessee Titans have confronted have been display screen passes, the very best proportion within the league. Buffalo is the following closest workforce at 16%.
The Colts are the one workforce Tennessee has performed this yr that ranks exterior the highest 12 in display screen price on offense. Detroit enters this week ranked thirtieth with a display screen price of simply 11%.
The Titans protection has carried out properly towards screens, permitting the fifth-lowest first down/landing price (13%) and the seventh-lowest yards per try common (5.3) on these performs.
Sam LaPorta has been comparatively quiet, because the second-year tight finish has acquired restricted alternatives within the passing sport. His goal price of 10% ranks 53rd out of 62 tight ends who’ve performed a minimum of 50 snaps. In distinction, LaPorta had a way more productive season final yr, with a goal price of 23%, third among the many high 65 tight ends.
The Titans come into this matchup tied for the fewest receptions allowed to tight ends, having given up solely 18 complete receptions on the yr.
BALTIMORE RAVENS VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS
Baltimore’s backfield is essentially the most harmful within the league: Derrick Henry’s 91.8 total grade ranks first amongst operating backs, whereas Justice Hill’s spectacular 91.4 receiving grade additionally is available in at No. 1.
Hill has caught all 21 targets despatched his approach, resulting in seven explosive receptions of 15-plus yards, essentially the most amongst operating backs. Henry, alternatively, has recorded 17 explosive runs of 10-plus yards, the second-most on the place.
Nick Chubb made his season debut final week for the Browns, stepping onto the sphere for the primary time since Week 2 of final yr. Despite the numerous time missed, Chubb’s 4,900 yards after contact for his profession ranks second solely to Derrick Henry since 2018. In this identical time-frame, Henry leads in missed tackles pressured on speeding makes an attempt with 361, whereas Chubb ranks third with 316 missed tackles pressured on run performs.
GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Since the beginning of the 2023 season, no quarterback has tried extra move makes an attempt of 20 or extra yards downfield than Jordan Love (109). His 13 landing passes on these deep throws are tied for the third-most over this span.
Tank Bigsby has made essentially the most of his alternatives on speeding makes an attempt. Among 48 operating backs with a minimal of 40 carries, Bigsby leads the pack with a powerful common of 4.6 yards after contact per carry.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS
Whether below Anthony Richardson or Joe Flacco, the Colts have been the league’s least correct workforce. Among 32 quarterbacks with a minimum of 100 move makes an attempt this season, Flacco sits at twenty ninth with a 53% correct move price, whereas Richardson ranks final at a mere 41%.
Wide receiver Adonai Mitchell has been significantly affected, with solely 52% of his targets deemed catchable — the bottom price within the NFL.
C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans offensive line can be relieved to have left Lambeau Field after permitting 10 pressures on third downs in Week 7, the very best complete in any sport this season. Fortunately for them, they’ll face a Colts protection that has generated a strain price of 30% and a median time to strain of two.56 seconds on third downs in 2024, each of which rank within the backside 4 amongst defenses.
ARIZONA CARDINALS VS. MIAMI DOLPHINS
James Conner continues to carry out at a excessive degree for Arizona, main all operating backs with 35 missed tackles pressured on speeding makes an attempt. His 17 explosive runs of 10 or extra yards are tied for the second-most within the league this season.
Calais Campbell is having top-of-the-line pass-rushing seasons of his profession. He boasts an 18.1% win price, which might mark the very best price of his profession, whereas his present strain price of 15.2% would signify the second-highest of his profession.
ATLANTA FALCONS VS. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
The Falcons have shifted away from play motion this season below new offensive coordinator Zac Robinson, operating it simply 15% of the time in 2024—the bottom price within the NFL.
This marks a ten% drop from Robinson’s utilization throughout his two-year tenure because the passing sport coordinator (2022-23) with the Rams. Conversely, Kirk Cousins’ passer score with play motion has declined considerably, dropping from 108.2 final season to 75.5 this yr, presumably on account of his restoration from a current Achilles damage.
Baker Mayfield has been on tempo for the perfect season of his NFL profession, however he now faces the problem of accidents to each his beginning extensive receivers — Mike Evans is predicted to be sidelined till a minimum of after the Buccaneers’ Week 11 bye, whereas Chris Godwin will miss the rest of the season.
Mayfield will possible really feel Godwin’s absence most acutely, because the star receiver boasts the second-highest PFF slot receiving grade, trailing solely Drake London.
CHICAGO BEARS VS. WASHINGTON COMMANDERS
Both Commanders quarterbacks have been wonderful on intermediate throws (10-19 yards downfield) this season, as Jayden Daniels‘ 95.3 passing grade on these throws leads all quarterbacks, whereas Marcus Mariota’s 95.1 grade ranks second.
Overall, the Commanders’ 74% completion price on intermediate throws ranks second-best within the league. And they need to get pleasure from extra success towards a Bears protection that has earned a 31.2 protection grade on intermediate passes this season.
Caleb Williams, recognized for his skill to increase performs in faculty, has really carried out higher when releasing the ball rapidly on the NFL degree. On dropbacks lasting 2.5 seconds or much less, Williams has earned a 76.2 PFF grade that ranks eleventh amongst 32 qualifying quarterbacks. In distinction, his grade falls to 50.7 on dropbacks longer than 2.5 seconds, inserting him twenty eighth.
This matches properly with a Commanders protection that permits a 120.6 passer score on throws launched in 2.5 seconds or much less, the very best within the NFL.
NEW YORK JETS VS. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Aaron Rodgers nonetheless has the arm to push the ball downfield, and he has been displaying it by focusing on go routes. On 15 move makes an attempt focusing on go routes this season, he leads all quarterbacks in completions (6) and big-time throws (5).
However, the Patriots have solely allowed one reception towards seven go-route targets this season, together with 4 pressured incompletions.
Drake Maye has boosted the Patriots’ passing sport, significantly when focusing on exterior the numbers. Among qualifying quarterbacks, Maye’s 115.6 passer score on passes thrown exterior the numbers ranks sixth, whereas Jacoby Brissett‘s 72.7 passer score in the identical class is the fifth-lowest.
The Jets’ sturdy cornerback duo has successfully restricted completions on these exterior throws, permitting only a 59% completion price, which ranks fifth lowest within the league.
BUFFALO BILLS VS. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
The Bills have scored on 47% of their drives which have included performs for damaging yardage, the second-highest price within the NFL. Additionally, Buffalo’s 38% landing drive price below related situations is the very best within the league, considerably forward of Arizona, which ranks second at 23%.
On the offensive line, Charles Cross has established himself as one of many high left tackles, incomes an 86.3 total grade, rating fourth within the league. He has allowed just one sack on 312 pass-blocking snaps this season, attaining a career-low strain price of seven.0%.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS VS. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
Carl Granderson holds a novel distinction within the league, as he leads his workforce in each complete pressures and defensive stops. As a move rusher, he boasts a 17% win price, which is on monitor for a career-high.
Justin Herbert’s 8.9 yards per try final week towards Arizona is the very best common for any quarterback this season in a sport the place they didn’t throw a landing move.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES VS. CINCINNATI BENGALS
Lane Johnson is acting at a excessive degree for the Eagles in his twelfth season as their proper sort out. This yr, he has surrendered just one strain, a rush in Week 6 towards the Browns. Over his 159 profession begins (together with postseason video games), Johnson has turned in a clear sheet with out permitting strain 51 instances.
Under Zac Taylor’s management, the Cincinnati Bengals have utilized shifts and movement at a excessive price. Their present shift/movement price stands at 60%, sixteenth within the NFL and reflecting a slight improve from 54% (18th) in 2023.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS
The tight finish place has been an essential a part of the Chiefs’ passing offense this season. Chiefs tight ends have been focused on 26% of their routes whereas averaging 2.09 yards per route run, rating third-highest amongst tight finish teams.
The Raiders have efficiently defended tight ends in protection, although, as they’ve allowed a 22% success price when the tight finish is focused, second finest amongst defenses.
Star pass-rusher Chris Jones excels wherever he’s deployed alongside the defensive entrance. He has tallied 19 complete pressures when lined up between the offensive tackles and 11 complete pressures when lined up exterior the tackles, making him the one pass-rusher with 10 or extra pressures at these alignments.
His goal on this matchup may very well be Raiders rookie left guard Jackson Powers-Johnson, whose 50.6 pass-blocking grade is the bottom amongst Raiders offensive linemen.
CAROLINA PANTHERS VS. DENVER BRONCOS
No rookie quarterback has been extra aggressive with the deep ball than Bo Nix this season, along with his 31 move makes an attempt of 20 or extra yards rating second within the NFL. Nix has recorded eight big-time throws on these makes an attempt, inserting him tied for sixth amongst quarterbacks. Conversely, the Panthers have confronted solely 19 deep makes an attempt this yr, tied for the sixth-fewest, however 4 of these have resulted in touchdowns.
When the Panthers want to maneuver the chains via the air, Diontae Johnson is their go-to goal. He leads the workforce with 20 complete receiving conversions—9 greater than the next-highest Panther—and his 37 targets previous the sticks are tied for the second-highest within the NFL.
With Pat Surtain on one facet of the Broncos protection, rookie cornerback Riley Moss has seen loads of motion this season, significantly past the first-down marker. Moss ranks second within the NFL with 30 protection targets previous the sticks and is tied for third with 14 catches allowed.
DALLAS COWBOYS VS. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
With the 49ers coping with accidents at extensive receiver, they’re more likely to rely much more closely on Jordan Mason, who at present ranks because the NFL’s second-leading rusher behind Derrick Henry.
Mason has excelled on exterior zone runs, main the league with 415 speeding yards and 19 speeding conversions on these performs. The Cowboys have confronted the fourth-most exterior zone runs this season and rank among the many backside 4 groups in EPA per play allowed towards such runs.
Nick Bosa has successfully performed on each edges of the defensive entrance this season, persistently pressuring quarterbacks no matter alignment. He has registered 19 pressures on 114 pass-rush snaps lined up exterior the left sort out and 20 pressures on 104 snaps lined up exterior the fitting sort out, making him certainly one of solely two gamers with 15 or extra pressures from every alignment.
Bosa could have a bonus irrespective of which sort out he faces towards the Cowboys. Among 69 offensive tackles, Tyler Guyton has a pass-block grade of 49.0, whereas Terence Steele has a 46.6 grade.
NEW YORK GIANTS VS. PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Deonte Banks has been assigned to cowl opposing groups’ high extensive receivers all through the season, and his subsequent problem can be Steelers wideout George Pickens. This season, Pickens has capitalized on quite a few one-on-one alternatives, recording 16 catches for 294 yards on 31 targets towards single protection, rating within the high 5 within the NFL.
In distinction, Banks has struggled in single protection, posting a 25.5 protection grade, the bottom within the league.
Red-zone scoring has been a big situation for the Giants’ offense this season, and going through the Steelers’ protection can be one other daunting check. The Giants’ red-zone landing price of 38% ranks fourth lowest within the NFL, whereas the Steelers boast the sixth-best red-zone protection, permitting touchdowns on solely 43% of red-zone alternatives.