With simply 45 days till the 2024 U.S. presidential election, the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump stays razor-thin. Despite Harris gaining momentum within the polls, significantly after the candidates’ ABC debate earlier this month, the end result continues to be removed from sure.
According to a Guardian 10-day polling common launched on September 21, Harris now holds a 2.6-point lead over Trump, 48.5% to 45.9%. This marks an enchancment from her 0.9-point benefit final week and represents a noticeable shift from the close to tie in early September. The shift follows the much-anticipated debate in Philadelphia on September 10, the place Harris was largely seen because the winner. Trump, the Republican nominee and former president, drew criticism for specializing in crowd sizes and repeating discredited claims about immigration, strikes that many consider damage his standing.
Kamala vs Trump: state of the race tendencies
A New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena ballot taken simply after the controversy confirmed the 2 candidates locked in a 47% tie, a slight enchancment for Harris in comparison with the one-point lead Trump held earlier than the controversy.
Other polling, nevertheless, has been extra encouraging for Harris. A Morning Consult survey, drawing from over 11,000 respondents, provides her a six-point lead, 51% to 45%, her largest margin since she took over the Democratic nomination from Joe Biden almost two months in the past.
The survey is supported by a separate ballot from Quinnipiac, exhibits Harris with a six-point lead in Pennsylvania, 51% to 45%.
Moreover, the Quinnipiac ballot provides Harris leads in two neighbouring battlegrounds, Michigan and Wisconsin, 5% and 1% respectively.
While the two.6-point nationwide lead for Harris stays throughout the margin of error, the most recent figures present rising optimism for her marketing campaign. However, with simply over six weeks left earlier than election day, each candidates might want to struggle for each vote, particularly in key swing states that would finally determine the election.