• Jayden Daniels might be part of the elite tier: Daniels exceeded expectations as a rookie and the Washington Commanders might tremendously enhance the vast receiver room this offseason.
• Don’t rely out Brock Purdy: The San Francisco 49ers quarterback is one in all 4 quarterbacks to rank within the top-10 in fantasy factors per recreation for a quarterback every of the final two seasons.
• 2025 NFL Draft season is right here: Try PFF’s best-in-class Mock Draft Simulator and find out about 2025’s high prospects whereas buying and selling and drafting in your favourite NFL group.
Estimated studying time: 8 minutes
With the conclusion of the 2024 NFL season, these way-too-early 2025 fantasy soccer rankings are an preliminary have a look at how gamers might be ranked this summer time.
Player motion in free company could have a giant issue on the rankings, notably at working again. For now, gamers anticipated to be unrestricted free brokers are marked as free brokers within the group column.
These rankings are for redraft PPR leagues. Most of the logic is for single-quarterback leagues, however the common order of the quarterbacks stays true for superflex leagues.
Last Updated: 7:00 a.m Monday, January 20
Tier 1: The 24 points-per-game gamers
Allen and Jackson have been in a league of their very own relating to high quality and consistency. In the final 5 seasons, Allen has completed among the many high three quarterbacks in fantasy factors per recreation. His worst season over the five-season stretch is best than anybody else’s common season. Allen additionally had one of the best PFF offensive grade amongst quarterbacks at the moment. His solely drawback this season was a scarcity of consistency early within the 12 months and some video games the place the Bills dominated with their run recreation and didn’t want Allen to build up many stats for a decisive victory. A younger core of receivers, together with Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman and Dalton Kincaid, ought to assist preserve Allen close to the highest of the place.
Jackson was one of the best fantasy quarterback final season. He completed among the many high 12 fantasy quarterbacks in all however one recreation and ranked within the high six in 65% of his matchups. While Jackson was the higher of the 2 quarterbacks this 12 months, there’s concern the offense received’t be as dominant subsequent 12 months. Derrick Henry and Mark Andrews are previous the age gamers at these positions normally peak. Left deal with Ronnie Stanley will likely be 31 years previous and a free agent. Jackson can also be nicely previous the age quarterbacks normally excel as a runner. There has by no means been one other quarterback like Jackson, so it’s exhausting to know when his speeding will regress, however he averaged one fewer carry per recreation this season than some other season of his profession.
Allen and Jackson had two of the very best ADPs amongst quarterbacks final season, they usually have been the 2 probably to guide their groups to the fantasy playoffs and two of the highest 4 the 12 months earlier than. Their constant success ought to make them third-round picks in most leagues, and it’s attainable their worth might get pushed to the second spherical.
Tier 2: The different quarterbacks to prioritize
These three quarterbacks averaged no less than 21 fantasy factors per recreation final season. The predominant means a quarterback has persistently hit 21 factors per recreation over a number of seasons is by speeding. Hurts joins Allen and Jackson as the one quarterbacks with no less than 21 factors within the final two seasons. All three quarterbacks have achieved this in no less than 4 of the final 5 seasons. They have rushed for no less than 550 speeding yards 13 occasions over the past 5 seasons, whereas all different quarterbacks mixed have seven. While Hurts has a variety of worth from one-yard touchdowns, he would have nonetheless ranked among the many top-12 fantasy quarterbacks in factors per recreation with out them.
Daniels is a riskier choice, however his upside is sufficient to rank third. He averaged 21.5 fantasy factors per recreation regardless of a bumpy center a part of the season. He completed second in speeding makes an attempt and speeding yards. The Commanders have the third-most cap house heading into the offseason, in response to OverTheCap, and most of their vast receivers outdoors of Terry McLaurin are hitting free company. If the Commanders can convey in additional firepower on offense, that might be sufficient to maneuver Daniels into the highest tier.
Burrow is the primary quarterback on the record who isn’t a runner. We haven’t seen a pocket passer have back-to-back glorious seasons lately, however Burrow must be the exception. He’s averaged over 21.5 fantasy factors per recreation in two of the final three seasons, with accidents taking their toll on his 2023 season. Burrow’s 92.9 PFF passing grade over the past three seasons is the clear greatest amongst quarterbacks. The Bengals’ offense and his receivers assist enhance the hole between Burrow and the remainder of the passers. Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins‘ contract scenario might take a flip for the more severe, which might convey Mahomes down a tier.
Tier 3: Most more likely to take a leap
There is a big hole between gaps two and three, as the highest 5 are fairly secure bets to achieve 21 fantasy factors per recreation or higher, and arguments might be made for a lot of the different beginning quarterbacks within the NFL to spherical out the highest 10. These three have the very best odds of ending within the high 5 or, on the very least, high 12.
Mahomes used to common no less than 22 fantasy factors per recreation each season, however then he misplaced Tyreek Hill and the group grew to become so dominant that it didn’t want Mahomes to place up glorious numbers each week. Mahomes ought to have his greatest group of vast receivers in his profession subsequent season, led by Rashee Rice, who has a top-12 PFF offensive grade amongst vast receivers over the past two seasons mixed. Xavier Worthy had a top-40 receiving grade over the past eight weeks of the season after a sluggish begin to his rookie season. Kansas City can even play six of the opposite seven groups that made the divisional spherical and can face the up-and-coming Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers twice every. Mahomes will seemingly want greater numbers subsequent season and will have the receivers to take action.
Purdy was quietly one of the crucial constant fantasy quarterbacks final season regardless of the 49ers’ catastrophe season. He was one in all seven quarterbacks to complete among the many high 12 fantasy quarterbacks for 60% of his video games and one in all seven to complete among the many high six in one-third of his video games. He achieved this regardless of solely having Christian McCaffrey for 4 video games, Brandon Aiyuk for seven and Trent Williams for 10. Several issues went flawed on and off the sphere, however the San Francisco 49ers’ historical past of success is sufficient to count on Purdy and the group to show issues round. Purdy has been a top-10 fantasy quarterback throughout good occasions and unhealthy, and he ought to keep among the many higher choices.
Nix is the ultimate quarterback of the three after a powerful rookie season. He completed eighth in fantasy factors per recreation at 19.3. Part of this was a powerful season as a runner, with 92 speeding makes an attempt, the fifth-best amongst quarterbacks. The 4 quarterbacks forward of him have been the highest 4 quarterbacks on this record. The Broncos might make enhancements at each working again and tight finish this offseason, which might additionally assist Nix’s manufacturing. While each quarterbacks getting into their second seasons had sophomore slumps in 2024, that shouldn’t discourage anybody from taking an opportunity on Nix to have a greater second 12 months.
Tier 4: Wait and draft two
An argument might be made for many established starters to complete as a fantasy starter. Most quarterbacks end nicely this season in opposition to the precise opponents and battle in opposition to the sturdy defenses. We may see fantasy managers wait longer than ever to take their first quarterbacks in drafts due to the depth on the place, however then a run at quarterbacks to take each their first and second choices.
This tier contains each quarterback who completed within the high 13 fantasy factors per recreation this season however wasn’t included within the high three tiers. That group is led by Mayfield, who averaged 22.5 fantasy factors per recreation final season. A giant a part of that was his 41 landing passes, tied for second-most amongst quarterbacks. Mike Evans will likely be 32 earlier than subsequent season, Chris Godwin is a free agent, and offensive coordinator Liam Coen might depart to develop into a head coach. Enough is working in opposition to him to depart him out of the primary three tiers.
This tier additionally contains Prescott, Love, Stroud and Richardson. All 4 ranked within the high 12 in fantasy factors per recreation final season however didn’t have as sturdy of performances in 2024. Injuries to these quarterbacks and their receivers impacted their poor seasons, and all 4 might bounce again.
Williams is the one quarterback on this record who wasn’t a borderline fantasy starter this 12 months or final. The first general decide within the 2024 NFL Draft had a couple of glorious video games, sufficient to point out his potential. He could have a brand new head coach and offensive coordinator, hopefully sufficient for a significantly better second season. He ranked seventh in speeding makes an attempt and speeding yards however wasn’t one of many 37 quarterbacks to attain a speeding landing. His speeding manufacturing offers him a comparatively excessive ground to combine together with his passing potential.
Tier 5: Reason for optimism
This tier of quarterbacks helps to point out how deep the place is. Herbert scored the seventh-most fantasy factors for a quarterback over the past 9 weeks of the season. The purpose he’s this low is the Chargers needed to run the ball final season however ranked fourth-worst in group run grade and within the backside half in group run block grade. The Chargers have sufficient cap room to enhance the run recreation this offseason, which is able to imply fewer go makes an attempt for Herbert.
Maye and Lawrence have been top-three draft picks on groups that may play for brand new teaching staffs. Ward, Penix and McCarthy have minimal NFL expertise, nevertheless it’s solely attainable any of the three might flip into star NFL gamers. Some too many quarterbacks have proven they are often fantasy starters to rank the inexperienced gamers any increased. McCarthy has an opportunity to rank a bit increased on the record within the Vikings quarterback-friendly offense if the group doesn’t re-sign Sam Darnold.