I’ve been placing collectively notes for each sport that Judah Fortgang and I contact on through the betting episode of the PFF NFL Show every week, and I’ve since prolonged that to game-by-game betting notes for the complete slate every week.
The concept is to place my analysis and ideas onto paper in a quick-hitting, bulleted format to assist myself work by means of what bets I need to place every week. Hopefully, you’re capable of get related betting worth from this text as you’re employed by means of your decision-making course of.
Each sport will embody data-driven and contextual notes for either side of the ball with an “Angles I Like” abstract on the finish that shortly summarizes how I’m most certainly to guess the sport from spreads, totals and participant props views.
HOUSTON TEXANS @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (CHIEFS -8.5, 41.5 TOTAL)
- These groups performed in Kansas City a number of weeks in the past, a 27-19 victory for the Chiefs.
- The greatest query going into that contest was how Patrick Mahomes, on a nasty ankle, would be capable of navigate Houston’s go rush behind a below-average sort out unit.
- Mahomes answered that query by getting the ball out in lower than 2.5 seconds on common. He dissected the Texans with fast beneath passes, going 21-of-24 for 171 yards on throws 5 yards or much less downfield.
- It was a high-volume passing sport for Mahomes, with the Chiefs passing on 68% of performs regardless of enjoying with a lead all through. He ended with 41 go makes an attempt (fourth most in a sport this season).
- Houston’s go rush wrecked the Chargers’ offensive sport plan within the wild-card spherical, so I count on the Chiefs to deploy an identical method as of their earlier assembly.
- The greatest query going into that contest was how Patrick Mahomes, on a nasty ankle, would be capable of navigate Houston’s go rush behind a below-average sort out unit.