• Kansas City Chiefs eyeing home-field benefit: The Chiefs have a 75% probability of securing the No. 1 seed within the AFC, based on PFF’s simulations.
• An enormous week for the Seahawks: The Seattle Seahawks have a 51% probability of constructing the playoffs with a Week 16 win, however their probabilities will fall to only 21% with a loss.
• Unlock your edge with a PFF+ subscription: Get full entry to all of our in-season fantasy instruments, together with weekly rankings, WR/CB matchup charts, weekly projections, the Start-Sit Optimizer, and extra. Sign up now!
Estimated studying time: 10 minutes
The present state of affairs forward of Week 16
Current AFC playoff standings
- Kansas City Chiefs (13-1)
- Buffalo Bills (11-3)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4)
- Houston Texans (9-5)
- Baltimore Ravens (9-5)
- Denver Broncos (9-5)
- Los Angeles Chargers (8-6)
Current NFC playoff standings
- Detroit Lions (12-2)
- Philadelphia Eagles (12-2)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-6)
- Los Angeles Rams (8-6)
- Minnesota Vikings (12-2)
- Green Bay Packers (10-4)
- Washington Commanders (9-5)
If these standings held up, we might welcome two new AFC groups (the Broncos and Chargers) and two new NFC groups (the Commanders and Vikings) to the playoffs.
The projections
Naturally, it’s unlikely the playoff image will stay fixed over the rest of the season. And that’s why it is sensible to take a look at the projected playoff image — the estimated probabilities PFF offers every crew to make the playoffs.
The following charts present the projected playoff probabilities for every crew alongside the playoff leverage, i.e., how the playoff probabilities would change with a win or loss.
The logos present the present playoff probabilities. The factors to the suitable of the logos point out the probabilities after a win, and the factors to the left point out the probabilities after a loss.