The energy rankings under present clear tiers on every NFL workforce’s market evaluation, providing a complete view of workforce standings and future prospects. All of the data under and extra will be present in PFF’s energy rankings software, which is offered with a PFF+ subscription.
It’s vital to notice that these rankings take into account extra than simply win-loss information and playoff seeding. Factors like participant and team-level grades, offensive and defensive effectivity, prior efficiency from previous seasons, and power of schedule all play a task. This is why groups with worse information and slimmer playoff hopes could rank larger than these with higher information who’ve managed wins in opposition to weaker opponents or delivered inconsistent performances from key gamers.
JUMP TO A TEAM:
ARZ | ATL | BLT | BUF | CAR | CIN | CHI | CLE | DEN | DAL | DET | GB | HOU | IND | JAX | KC| LVR | LAC | LAR | MIA | MIN | NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF | SEA | TB | TEN | WSH
1. Kansas City Chiefs
Strength of schedule to this point: 23
Strength of schedule remaining: 4
Projected avg. wins: 15.60
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 100.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 100.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 40.67
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 20.45
The Chiefs aren’t a traditional 15-1 workforce. They’ve but to attain 30 factors in a recreation and the protection has been cold and hot — although it’s knuckled down in latest weeks — however Kansas City is proving to be extra unbeatable than ever. Center Creed Humphrey’s 93.3 grade is second amongst facilities.
2. Philadelphia Eagles
Strength of schedule to this point: 24
Strength of schedule remaining: 27
Projected avg. wins: 13.71
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 100.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 99.20
% likelihood of successful the convention: 23.58
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 12.78
The Eagles misplaced Jalen Hurts to an early concussion in opposition to the Commanders in Week 16, leaving Kenny Pickett to information the offense. While he led six scoring drives, it wasn’t sufficient to carry off a late surge. Philadelphia surrendered 22 fourth-quarter factors and fell 36-33. The loss retains the NFC East title up for grabs, and Hurts’ standing stays unsure for Week 17. A.J. Brown’s 91.1 grade is third amongst receivers.
3. Detroit Lions
Strength of schedule to this point: 19
Strength of schedule remaining: 7
Projected avg. wins: 14.26
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 100.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 71.99
% likelihood of successful the convention: 34.94
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 18.86
The Lions rebounded from their Week 15 loss to the Bills in dominant trend, cruising to a 34-17 street victory over the Bears to enhance to 13-2. It marks the primary time in franchise historical past that Detroit has reached 13 wins, solidifying their standing as NFC favorites regardless of quite a few accidents. No workforce performs tougher than Dan Campbell’s squad. The Lions’ 93.1 workforce grade leads the NFL.
4. Buffalo Bills
Strength of schedule to this point: 14
Strength of schedule remaining: 26
Projected avg. wins: 13.62
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 100.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 100.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 20.55
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 10.29
The Bills overcame an early 14-0 deficit to keep away from an upset in opposition to the Patriots, leaning on their protection and floor recreation to safe a hard-fought victory. While it wasn’t Josh Allen’s finest efficiency, the win retains him on observe for his first MVP award. Allen’s 90.9 grade ranks third amongst quarterbacks.
5. Baltimore Ravens
Strength of schedule to this point: 1
Strength of schedule remaining: 31
Projected avg. wins: 11.87
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 100.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 92.63
% likelihood of successful the convention: 20.26
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 10.85
The Ravens’ Week 16 victory over the Steelers introduced each groups to 10-5 within the AFC North, however Baltimore nonetheless wants Pittsburgh to lose at the least yet one more recreation to assert the division. It marked the Ravens’ first win over their rivals since 2022 and Lamar Jackson’s first since 2019. However, it was Derrick Henry who dominated, racking up 162 speeding yards and incomes a league-best 92.5 grade amongst working backs.
Lamar Jackson then etched his title within the NFL document books in Week 17, breaking the league’s profession speeding document for quarterbacks within the Baltimore Ravens‘ dominant 31-2 victory over the Houston Texans. Jackson rushed for 87 yards and a rating whereas throwing for 168 yards and two touchdowns, main the Ravens’ commanding efficiency. With his efforts, Jackson surpassed Michael Vick’s long-standing document of 6,109 profession speeding yards, bringing his complete to six,110 and solidifying his place as one of the vital dynamic quarterbacks in NFL historical past.
6. Minnesota Vikings
Strength of schedule to this point: 31
Strength of schedule remaining: 1
Projected avg. wins: 13.93
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 100.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 28.01
% likelihood of successful the convention: 15.71
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 7.89
Justin Jefferson’s late landing sealed a back-and-forth victory for the Vikings over the Seahawks, holding them degree with the Lions atop the NFC North at 13-2. Minnesota appears like a formidable playoff contender, excelling on either side of the ball and discovering methods to win in key moments. Sam Darnold has been excellent down the stretch, incomes an 86.0 grade — the sixth-highest amongst quarterbacks.
7. Green Bay Packers
Strength of schedule to this point: 12
Strength of schedule remaining: 16
Projected avg. wins: 12.23
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 100.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 8.67
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 4.15
The Packers dominated the Saints on Monday night time, rolling to a 34-0 victory behind a strong floor recreation and a stifling defensive efficiency. The win clinched a playoff spot for Green Bay, solidifying them as a workforce to observe within the postseason. Josh Jacobs’ 91.1 grade ranks third amongst working backs this season.
8. Pittsburgh Steelers
Strength of schedule to this point: 11
Strength of schedule remaining: 17
Projected avg. wins: 10.57
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 100.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 7.37
% likelihood of successful the convention: 4.85
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 1.96
The Steelers have been outclassed of their 17-point loss to the Ravens in Week 16 and fell 29-10 to the Chiefs in Week 17. The Steelers now have to lock in and care for enterprise. T.J. Watt’s 92.1 grade ranks third amongst edge rushers this season.
9. Houston Texans
Strength of schedule to this point: 15
Strength of schedule remaining: 29
Projected avg. wins: 9.70
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 100.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 100.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 5.45
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 2.07
Tank Dell’s severe knee damage will overshadow a lot of the discourse following the loss to the Chiefs in Week 16. Dell dislocated his kneecap on a landing catch early within the recreation, and the Texans’ offense simply wasn’t the identical with out him on the sphere — it’s a giant blow for a participant who’s already had some damage struggles early in his profession. And for a workforce that wanted an injection on offense, although Nico Collins’ 91.6 grade is second amongst receivers.
10. Denver Broncos
Strength of schedule to this point: 28
Strength of schedule remaining: 2
Projected avg. wins: 9.89
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 79.15
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 3.57
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 1.51
The Broncos stay safe at 9-6 regardless of their Thursday night time loss to the Chargers, staying on observe for his or her first playoff berth since their Super Bowl win in 2015. After years of struggles, Denver is lastly on the cusp of returning to postseason relevancy. Pat Surtain’s 84.0 grade leads all cornerbacks this season.
11. Los Angeles Rams
Strength of schedule to this point: 8
Strength of schedule remaining: 23
Projected avg. wins: 10.29
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 85.94
% likelihood of successful the division: 85.94
% likelihood of successful the convention: 6.44
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 2.85
The Rams scored 13 unanswered factors within the second half to safe a 19-9 victory over the Jets, enhancing to 9-6 and inching nearer to a playoff berth. Winners of eight of their final 10, the Rams now maintain a 76% likelihood of claiming the NFC West after Week 16’s outcomes. Sean McVay’s squad is heating up on the excellent time and has the expertise to make waves within the postseason. Puka Nacua leads all receivers with a 92.3 grade.
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Strength of schedule to this point: 5
Strength of schedule remaining: 30
Projected avg. wins: 9.50
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 57.18
% likelihood of successful the division: 51.11
% likelihood of successful the convention: 3.67
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 1.54
Things are tightening up within the NFC South after the Buccaneers’ loss and the Falcons’ win in Week 16. Both groups sit at 8-7, leaving Tampa Bay with a roughly 50% likelihood of capturing the division title with two video games left. With matchups in opposition to the Panthers and Saints to shut out the season, the Buccaneers nonetheless look like the workforce to beat. One means or one other, this race will probably be one to observe. Bucky Irving’s 87.8 grade ranks sixth amongst working backs.
13. Los Angeles Chargers
Strength of schedule to this point: 21
Strength of schedule remaining: 28
Projected avg. wins: 10.37
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 95.04
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 4.01
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 1.59
Three losses in 4 video games had brought on questionable doubts over the Chargers, however they responded final Thursday night time with a formidable 34-27 victory over the Broncos, boosting their document to 9-6 and their playoff odds to an nearly sure 95%. The protection is twenty fourth in EPA allowed per play during the last six weeks, and that’s a fear, however Justin Herbert has been lifting the workforce, and his 89.5 grade is fourth amongst quarterbacks.
14. Washington Commanders
Strength of schedule to this point: 32
Strength of schedule remaining: 19
Projected avg. wins: 11.25
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 93.93
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.80
% likelihood of successful the convention: 4.64
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 2.04
Despite committing 5 turnovers, the Commanders pulled off a surprising upset over the Eagles, holding their divisional hopes alive and boosting their playoff odds to 94%. Washington repeatedly fought again, led by Jayden Daniels’ electrifying five-touchdown efficiency. Daniels, whose 88.8 grade ranks fifth amongst quarterbacks, orchestrated a 22-point fourth quarter to finish the exceptional comeback and all however safe a playoff berth.
15. San Francisco 49ers
Strength of schedule to this point: 4
Strength of schedule remaining: 12
Projected avg. wins: 6.91
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.00
The 49ers have been formally eradicated from playoff rivalry earlier than stepping on the sphere, however the 29-17 loss in opposition to the Dolphins on Sunday afternoon rubber-stamped it. The 2024 season has been a slog for the 49ers, however simply as there have been issues out of their management, they’ve additionally simply not been fairly adequate at instances. They’ll look to reassess and are available again stronger in 2025. George Kittle’s 91.4 grade is first amongst tight ends.
16. Cincinnati Bengals
Strength of schedule to this point: 27
Strength of schedule remaining: 10
Projected avg. wins: 7.94
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 4.42
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.18
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.08
The Bengals delivered a balanced efficiency of their win over the Browns, enhancing to 7-8 and holding their slim playoff hopes alive. With only a 4% likelihood of reaching the postseason, the trail ahead is steep, however continued efforts like this give them a shot at staying in rivalry. Joe Burrow’s 91.9 grade ranks second amongst all NFL quarterbacks, highlighting his elite play this season.
17. Seattle Seahawks
Strength of schedule to this point: 17
Strength of schedule remaining: 15
Projected avg. wins: 8.93
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 14.06
% likelihood of successful the division: 14.06
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.53
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.26
The Seattle Seahawks saved their playoff hopes alive with a gritty 6-3 victory over the Chicago Bears on Thursday night time. The win positions Seattle to probably clinch the NFC West in Week 18, however their path to the division title stays unsure. The Los Angeles Rams may nonetheless declare the NFC West this weekend by securing the power of victory tiebreaker.
In one of the vital difficult playoff eventualities of Week 17, the Rams’ possibilities hinge on assist from a number of AFC groups, together with the Bills and Bengals.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba continues to shine, along with his 83.2 grade rating twelfth amongst receivers.
18. Miami Dolphins
Strength of schedule to this point: 30
Strength of schedule remaining: 24
Projected avg. wins: 8.16
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 7.40
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.28
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.15
The Dolphins stay alive within the AFC playoff race by the pores and skin of their tooth after a 29-17 win in opposition to the 49ers. Their playoff possibilities sit at 8%, and the Dolphins want too many issues to go proper to make sure protected passage to the playoffs. Stranger issues have occurred, however the Dolphins have been blowing cold and hot for a month. Calais Campbell’s 83.0 grade is sixth amongst inside defenders.
19. Dallas Cowboys
Strength of schedule to this point: 21
Strength of schedule remaining: 3
Projected avg. wins: 7.60
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.00
The Cowboys have been formally eradicated from playoff rivalry following the Commanders’ Week 16 win, however they nonetheless put collectively a powerful displaying of their 26-24 victory over the Buccaneers on Sunday Night Football. While Dallas has performed considerably higher over the previous month, the development got here too late to salvage their season. Micah Parsons stays a standout, along with his 90.0 grade rating sixth amongst edge rushers.
20. Atlanta Falcons
Strength of schedule to this point: 18
Strength of schedule remaining: 22
Projected avg. wins: 9.02
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 48.89
% likelihood of successful the division: 48.89
% likelihood of successful the convention: 1.82
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.63
The Michael Penix Jr. period started in type because the Falcons rolled to a convincing 34-7 victory over the New York Giants. Raheem Morris’ squad leaned on a smothering defensive efficiency, highlighted by two pick-sixes and the electrical speeding of Bijan Robinson. Penix displayed poise in his first NFL begin, holding Atlanta firmly within the playoff hunt at 8-7. Robinson continues to shine, along with his 91.5 grade rating second amongst working backs.
21. Indianapolis Colts
Strength of schedule to this point: 16
Strength of schedule remaining: 32
Projected avg. wins: 8.37
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 13.99
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.18
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.05
Anthony Richardson threw simply 11 passes because the Colts leaned on their floor recreation to safe a 38-30 victory over the Titans, enhancing to 7-8 on the season. Richardson and Jonathan Taylor mixed for a formidable 288 speeding yards and 4 touchdowns, powering the offense and holding Indianapolis’ slim playoff hopes alive. Taylor carried out effectively, incomes a 77.0 speeding grade within the win.
22. New York Jets
Strength of schedule to this point: 25
Strength of schedule remaining: 5
Projected avg. wins: 4.65
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.00
The Jets dropped to 4-11, however the connection between Davante Adams and Aaron Rodgers continues to flash glimpses of their previous glory. The veteran duo accounted for the Jets’ lone landing, providing a uncommon spotlight in one other lackluster season. As all the time, the Jets stay constant in a technique: being entertaining for all of the flawed causes.
23. Arizona Cardinals
Strength of schedule to this point: 7
Strength of schedule remaining: 13
Projected avg. wins: 7.81
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.00
Things have been rosy for the Cardinals two months in the past after they have been 6-4 heading into their bye week and atop the NFC West. Now, seven weeks later, they’ve simply been eradicated from playoff rivalry after shedding 4 of their final 5 video games, together with the 36-30 extra time loss to the Panthers in Week 16.
24. New Orleans Saints
Strength of schedule to this point: 20
Strength of schedule remaining: 21
Projected avg. wins: 5.86
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.00
The Saints have been embarrassed within the Lambeau Field chilly, shedding 34-0 on Monday night time. Spencer Rattler was pressured constantly all through the sport, and the Saints simply couldn’t cease the frenzy. This was one to overlook for the Saints, however they’ll return to the drafting board. Erik McCoy’s 94.2 grade leads all facilities.
25. Chicago Bears
Strength of schedule to this point: 10
Strength of schedule remaining: 11
Projected avg. wins: 4.66
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.00
The vibes aren’t good in Chicago proper now, and the one encouraging final result was that Caleb Williams is displaying flashes. However, most Bears followers are simply begging for the candy launch of the offseason at this level.
26. Cleveland Browns
Strength of schedule to this point: 3
Strength of schedule remaining: 6
Projected avg. wins: 3.52
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.00
There’s nothing left however draft order to play for, however the Browns’ offense actually struggled with Dorian Thompson-Robinson at quarterback. The Browns have the Dolphins and Ravens up subsequent, and they’re at present slated to choose No. 5 within the 2025 draft.
27. Jacksonville Jaguars
Strength of schedule to this point: 13
Strength of schedule remaining: 25
Projected avg. wins: 3.82
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.00
Jacksonville has discovered its star receiver in Brian Thomas Jr. The standout rookie caught 9 passes for 132 yards and a landing within the loss, breaking the franchise document for many receptions by a rookie with 73. The Jaguars are at present slated for the No. 3 choose within the draft, setting the stage for important modifications within the offseason, probably together with a brand new head coach and entrance workplace. Thomas Jr.’s 81.5 receiving grade ranks second amongst rookie receivers.
28. Carolina Panthers
Strength of schedule to this point: 26
Strength of schedule remaining: 14
Projected avg. wins: 4.55
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.00
The Panthers have proven promise since Bryce Young took over because the starter, and their efforts lastly paid off with a win in opposition to a workforce over .500 for the primary time since Week 3. Young, Chuba Hubbard and the offense may kind a formidable unit with a number of good offseason additions. While the protection requires important consideration, there’s real hope in Carolina. Young’s 91.7 grade led all quarterbacks in Week 16.
29. Las Vegas Raiders
Strength of schedule to this point: 2
Strength of schedule remaining: 18
Projected avg. wins: 3.73
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.00
The Raiders snapped a ten-game shedding streak with a slender 19-14 victory, however the win got here at a value. Starting the day in line for the No. 2 general choose, they now sit at No. 6, a less-than-ideal place for a workforce needing a quarterback in a draft skinny on top-tier choices. Brock Bowers’ 85.8 grade is second amongst tight ends.
30. New England Patriots
Strength of schedule to this point: 30
Strength of schedule remaining: 2
Projected avg. wins: 3.50
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.00
The Patriots put up a battle in opposition to the Bills, with Drake Maye delivering one other sturdy displaying at quarterback, however they finally fell quick, struggling their fifth-straight loss to drop to 3-12. They now be a part of 4 different groups with the identical document however would maintain the No. 2 general choose if the season ended immediately. Maye’s 89.4 speeding grade ranks fifth amongst quarterbacks.
31. Tennessee Titans
Strength of schedule to this point: 6
Strength of schedule remaining: 20
Projected avg. wins: 3.76
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.00
The Titans made a late push with 22 unanswered factors to shut inside a landing of the Colts, however their comeback fell quick. Now sitting at 3-12 with Mason Rudolph beneath middle, the main target seems to have shifted to the 2025 NFL Draft and the opportunity of securing a top-five choose. Could a brand new quarterback be in Tennessee’s future? Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been a shiny spot, along with his 9 touchdowns rating fifth amongst receivers.
32. New York Giants
Strength of schedule to this point: 14
Strength of schedule remaining: 11
Projected avg. wins: 2.44
% likelihood of constructing the playoffs: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the division: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the convention: 0.00
% likelihood of successful the Super Bowl: 0.00
The Giants’ offensive struggles continued as they failed to attain double digits for the fifth time this season in a 34-7 loss to the Falcons. Drew Lock’s two pick-sixes additional sealed their destiny, holding New York on observe for the primary general choose within the 2025 NFL Draft. There’s little left to research for this season— right here’s to brighter days forward. Malik Nabers’ 82.9 grade leads all rookie receivers.