• RB Derrick Henry, Baltimore Ravens: Henry has a good matchup in opposition to the Dallas rush protection, which ranks lifeless final within the NFL in EPA allowed per rush play and thirtieth in success fee allowed.
• Unlock your edge with a PFF+ subscription: Get full entry to all our in-season betting instruments, together with PFF Greenline, PFF Best Bets, PFF Power Ratings and extra! Sign up now!
Estimated studying time: 3 minutes
RB Derrick Henry, Baltimore Ravens
Henry has been a pressure within the purple zone for years, and he’s began the season robust, scoring a speeding landing in every of his first two video games.
Next up is a good matchup in opposition to the Dallas rush protection, which ranks lifeless final within the NFL in EPA allowed per rush play and thirtieth in success fee allowed.
Although the value is steep, the 48-point complete and ideally suited matchup make it probably Henry will discover the tip zone once more in opposition to Dallas.
Click right here to see extra bets for this sport
RB Kyren Williams, Los Angeles Rams
The Rams offense has struggled to begin this season, with accidents ravaging the offensive line and large receiver corps.
Despite these setbacks, they’ve managed to place collectively some strong drives and now face a 49ers protection that ranks center of the pack in most effectivity metrics.
Williams, who leads the staff in red-zone touches, advantages from McVay’s long-standing reliance on working backs in close-range conditions. At +115, his heavy involvement close to the objective line provides an excessive amount of worth to miss as a strong wager to attain once more for the Rams.
Click right here to see extra bets for this sport
RB David Montgomery, Detroit Lions
The Cardinals protection has constantly struggled to cease the run, rating second-to-last in speeding success fee allowed and close to the underside in EPA allowed per rush over the previous few seasons.
While the Lions offense has had its difficulties this season, a lot of that stems from red-zone struggles, the place they’ve posted the fourth-lowest landing fee. However, this offense is simply too proficient to maintain such a low degree of red-zone success, and regression is probably going.
When the Lions get contained in the 5-yard line, Montgomery has been their go-to again, receiving 67% of the touches to this point this season. With plus-money odds and a sport that includes a excessive level complete, count on the Lions to use the Cardinals’ run protection and discover the tip zone by Montgomery.
Click right here to see extra bets for this sport