- Projected win totals vs. sportsbook traces for all 32 NFL groups: See how each group stacks up as coaching camps start, and discover the place the largest worth lies heading into the 2025 season.
- Miami Dolphins over 7.5 wins stands out as a superb guess: There are further causes for optimism. Miami’s relaxation schedule ranks among the many league’s most favorable, and PFF initiatives its 2025 slate because the Eleventh-easiest in energy of schedule. Even with a Week 11 journey to Madrid costing a house recreation, the items are in place for a extra steady, dynamic Dolphins group — and if Tagovailoa stays wholesome, the upside is simple.
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With coaching camps nearly to get underway, it’s the right time to begin discovering worth within the futures market. Using PFF’s season-long simulation outcomes, we’re highlighting a couple of betting alternatives within the win totals market that stand out heading into 2025.
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Last up to date: Monday, July 14, 2025
Win totals for all 32 NFL groups
| Team | Strength of Schedule | PFF Projected Win Total | Sportsbook Win Total | Over | Under |
| Arizona Cardinals | 23 | 8.7 | 8.5 | -122 | 103 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 29 | 8.0 | 7.5 | -139 | 114 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 12 | 11.2 | 11.5 | -112 | -112 |
| Buffalo Bills | 24 | 11.6 | 12.5 | 118 | -148 |
| Carolina Panthers | 28 | 6.9 | 6.5 | -122 | -103 |
| Chicago Bears | 5 | 7.8 | 8.5 | 108 | -136 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 13 | 9.4 | 9.5 | -139 | 114 |
| Cleveland Browns | 6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 114 | -139 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 9 | 8.0 | 8.5 | 123 | -152 |
| Denver Broncos | 14 | 8.8 | 9.5 | -107 | -117 |
| Detroit Lions | 2 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 104 | -129 |
| Green Bay Packers | 7 | 9.4 | 9.5 | -117 | -107 |
| Houston Texans | 17 | 9.1 | 9.5 | -103 | -122 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 20 | 7.8 | 7.5 | -103 | -122 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 25 | 7.9 | 7.5 | -112 | -112 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 10 | 10.8 | 11.5 | -103 | -122 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 16 | 7.3 | 6.5 | -152 | 123 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 15 | 9.2 | 9.5 | -107 | -117 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 18 | 9.5 | 9.5 | -139 | 114 |
| Miami Dolphins | 22 | 8.5 | 7.5 | -122 | -103 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 8.4 | 9.5 | 108 | -136 |
| New England Patriots | 30 | 8.0 | 8.5 | 104 | -129 |
| New Orleans Saints | 31 | 5.9 | 5.5 | -103 | -122 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 114 | -139 |
| New York Jets | 19 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 118 | -148 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | 11.1 | 11.5 | 104 | -129 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 11 | 8.3 | 8.5 | -107 | -117 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 32 | 10.0 | 10.5 | 108 | -136 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 21 | 8.0 | 7.5 | -139 | 114 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 27 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 104 | -129 |
| Tennessee Titans | 26 | 6.3 | 5.5 | -129 | 104 |
| Washington Commanders | 8 | 9.3 | 9.5 | -117 | -107 |
Best bets
Miami Dolphins over 7.5 wins (-115 at MGM)
The Dolphins enter 2025 trying to rebound from their first shedding season since 2019, and all of it begins with holding quarterback Tua Tagovailoa wholesome. When Tagovailoa is on the sector, Miami’s offense has confirmed it could function as one of the environment friendly models within the NFL. Protecting him turned the clear offseason precedence, with the Dolphins signing veteran guard James Daniels and utilizing a second-round choose on sort out Jonah Savaiinaea to bolster the road.
On protection, Miami strengthened the trenches with first-round choose Kenneth Grant and can get a lift from the return of edge rushers Jaelan Phillips and Bradley Chubb, each getting back from accidents. But the Dolphins’ id nonetheless revolves across the passing recreation and the matchup nightmares created by Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. From 2022 to 2023, Miami ranked sixth in EPA per play and first in explosive cross performs, with that duo dominating targets. In 2024, they fell to twenty fourth in each metrics, because the offense misplaced its signature explosiveness.
A return to that high-powered passing assault must also open up the bottom recreation for De’Von Achane, whose otherworldly 7.4 yards per carry in 2023 dropped to 4.5 final season.
There are further causes for optimism. Miami’s relaxation schedule ranks among the many league’s most favorable, and PFF initiatives its 2025 slate because the Eleventh-easiest in energy of schedule. Even with a Week 11 journey to Madrid costing a house recreation, the items are in place for a extra steady, dynamic Dolphins group — and if Tagovailoa stays wholesome, the upside is simple.
Minnesota Vikings below 9.5 wins (-125 at MGM)
The Vikings head into 2025 with extra questions than solutions, most of them revolving round first-year beginning quarterback J.J. McCarthy.
Drafted tenth general in 2024, McCarthy’s rookie marketing campaign ended earlier than it started as a result of a torn meniscus within the preseason. Now wholesome, he takes over an offense constructed round one of many league’s prime skill-position duos in Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison. The passing recreation’s success a 12 months in the past even helped Sam Darnold flip a career-best season right into a $100 million contract in free company.
Without a longtime franchise quarterback, Minnesota has opted for the subsequent greatest team-building technique: loading up the roster whereas McCarthy is on a rookie deal. That method paid off this spring, incomes the Vikings an A+ grade for his or her aggressive free company strikes.
Still, McCarthy enters the league with restricted expertise as a quantity passer. At Michigan, he wasn’t typically requested to hold the offense or push the ball downfield — traits he’ll have to develop rapidly in an NFL offense. That studying curve, mixed with an absence of continuity alongside the offensive line, may amplify safety points and make life tougher for a rookie adjusting to professional pace.
To complicate issues, Minnesota faces PFF’s third-hardest energy of schedule in 2025. It’s a frightening atmosphere for any younger quarterback to develop in, and it explains why the Vikings’ market win complete sits at 9.5 regardless of a 14-win season final 12 months.