- Tyreek Hill appears to be like to bounce again after a comparatively disappointing 2024 marketing campaign: He entered the yr because the back-to-back PPR WR2 however skilled a major drop-off for a wide range of causes.
- Terry McLaurin delivered a profession yr with Jayden Daniels beneath middle: McLaurin put collectively a WR1 season for the primary time in his profession. However, a brand new season brings new challenges as he appears to be like to duplicate his glorious 2024.
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This fantasy soccer article sequence breaks down the hardest draft-day choices going through fantasy managers, utilizing Underdog’s common draft place (ADP) as a information. Each installment compares equally ranked gamers on the similar place, utilizing key stats from earlier seasons and contextual elements — together with staff scenario — to establish the higher choose.
Today’s matchup spotlights Miami Dolphins extensive receiver Tyreek Hill and Washington Commanders extensive receiver Terry McLaurin as we consider the highest choices initially of Round 3 in fantasy drafts.
TYREEK HILL (WR15) vs. TERRY MCLAURIN (WR16)
Hill is coming off a season that fell in need of expectations after being drafted as a top-three extensive receiver final offseason, following back-to-back WR2 finishes in 2022 and 2023. Inconsistent quarterback play and restoration from offseason wrist surgical procedure might have contributed to his dip in manufacturing. Still, early 2025 draft traits present drafters stay optimistic a couple of rebound.
McLaurin delivered the very best fantasy season of his NFL profession, buoyed by a major improve at quarterback. He recorded 4 top-10 weekly finishes on the place in 2024. Despite ending as a top-12 fantasy wideout, McLaurin is at present being drafted exterior the highest 15 on the place, suggesting expectations of regression heading into 2025.
INVOLVEMENT IN THE OFFENSE
Hill noticed 121 targets in 2024, his fewest since becoming a member of the Dolphins and his lowest mark general since 2019, when he missed a number of video games as a consequence of damage. While it was additionally his lowest goal charge previously 5 seasons, it nonetheless exceeded any of McLaurin’s charges over that very same span, together with 2024. Even getting into his tenth NFL season at age 31 and coming off a down yr, Hill stays a close to lock for an elite goal share.
McLaurin’s goal charge has by no means matched Hill’s, however he did outpace him in whole targets final season, which helped gasoline his best and productive fantasy marketing campaign so far. Still, some regression ought to be anticipated in 2025 as McLaurin turns 30 and faces elevated goal competitors in Washington’s offense.
PRODUCTION AND PERFORMANCE
Hill’s 3.82 yards per route run within the 2023 common season trailed solely 2008 Steve Smith for the very best mark within the PFF period, making some regression in 2024 all however inevitable. However, his drop to 1.75 yards per route run wasn’t only a dip, it marked the bottom determine of his profession and the primary time he’s did not prime 2.00 in that class.
McLaurin has exceeded 2.00 yards per route run simply twice in his profession, however he was extra environment friendly than Hill in 2024. His largest leap in fantasy manufacturing got here through the top zone: McLaurin scored 13 whole touchdowns — second-most within the league — practically doubling his earlier profession excessive of seven set in 2019.
HIGH-VALUE TARGET INVOLVEMENT
Hill remained closely concerned within the crimson zone in 2024, regardless of posting simply six receiving touchdowns, his lowest whole since his rookie yr. Five of these scores got here on red-zone targets, however he needed to share alternatives with teammates like Jonnu Smith and De’Von Achane, who recorded seven and 6 red-zone touchdowns, respectively.
McLaurin’s crimson zone effectivity was distinctive. Despite trailing Zach Ertz in each red-zone targets and goal charge, McLaurin caught 13 of his 14 red-zone targets for 10 touchdowns — a charge that’s virtually sure to regress in 2025.
Still, if Washington’s offense maintains its crimson zone quantity — it tied for second within the NFL with 210 red-zone performs final season — McLaurin ought to proceed to see invaluable scoring alternatives.
TEAM PASSING/QUARTERBACK SITUATION
Tua Tagovailoa missed 5 video games in 2024. But even when he was wholesome, he posted his lowest passing grade since 2021. The Dolphins by no means appeared to recuperate from their 2–6 begin, a droop that dragged down practically all of Miami’s fantasy manufacturing. A reset for Tagovailoa and his prime two receivers is vital if the offense is to rebound in 2025.
Jayden Daniels and the Commanders had been on a wholly completely different trajectory. Daniels led Washington to an NFC championship look and earned Offensive Rookie of the Year honors within the course of. Nearly each facet of his rookie season helped create a robust offensive atmosphere for McLaurin, one which the Commanders will hope to duplicate in 2025.
POTENTIAL 2025 TARGET COMPETITION
The emergence of Jonnu Smith as a high-volume goal in 2024 was surprising and performed a job within the diminished manufacturing from each Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Looking forward to 2025, Hill may as soon as once more face competitors from two fronts: Smith remaining a key a part of the Dolphins’ offense and Waddle returning to type as a dynamic playmaker nonetheless in his prime.
In Washington, Zach Ertz was already a go-to crimson zone choice final season and figures to retain that function in 2025. However, the addition of Deebo Samuel introduces a brand new layer of goal competitors. Over the previous three seasons, Samuel ranks third amongst all extensive receivers and tight ends with 58 red-zone touches (receptions and carries mixed), a development that might additional eat into McLaurin’s scoring alternatives and reinforce expectations of landing regression in 2025.
Tyreek Hill vs. Terry McLaurin: Target Maps (2024)
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While the ultimate resolution is yours, don’t go into your draft blind. Check out PFF’s newest fantasy soccer rankings to see precisely the place Tyreek Hill, Terry McLaurin and the remainder of your targets stack up heading into 2025.