Where each NFL workforce stands after Week 5

• The “Tush Push” is again in Philly: The Philadelphia Eagles have been essentially the most aggressive workforce on fourth downs this season.

• Here come the Commanders: Jayden Daniels and the Washington offense has been the third-most aggressive workforce on fourth downs this 12 months.

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Estimated studying time: 3 minutes

It’s by no means too early to start out getting ready for subsequent season, and for PFF, which means methods to enhance PFF Premium Stats. One means we’re seeking to improve the expertise is by introducing extra knowledge into the combination.

A few weeks in the past, we unveiled a fourth-down aggressiveness metric that measures how often and willingly groups try to convert on fourth down.

Here is how the league’s groups have fared via 5 weeks of motion.

How PFF’s fourth-down aggressiveness metric works

This metric focuses on how typically groups go for it on fourth down, based mostly on how rather more (or much less) often a workforce opts to go for it in comparison with conventional norms. It’s not a measure of whether or not the choice was right however slightly an evaluation of how a workforce’s aggressiveness compares to historic tendencies. Instead of merely counting what number of occasions a workforce makes an attempt a fourth-down conversion, this metric accounts for the various alternatives groups have throughout a sport.

As famous, a workforce may constantly make the perfect decisions on fourth down all through a complete season and nonetheless have a low aggressiveness score. Conversely, a workforce may make poor selections but earn a excessive aggressiveness score. This metric just isn’t about proper or fallacious selections—it highlights how typically a workforce goes for it on fourth down relative to what’s sometimes anticipated.

To calculate this, we’ve constructed a mannequin utilizing knowledge from each common and postseason sport since 2006. The mannequin evaluates each fourth-down situation, contemplating elements like area place, rating margin, time remaining, timeouts, and yards to go. It estimates how typically a workforce would historically go for it in every state of affairs. The outcome reveals how a lot roughly often a workforce goes for it, expressed as a proportion in comparison with historic norms.

Teams are then categorized into six ranges of aggressiveness: Daring, daring, resolute, hesitant, cautious and conservative.