- Keon Coleman exhibits some sparks: Coleman was a fantasy starter over the course of October, however then a wrist damage value him a month, and his manufacturing by no means recovered.
- Coleman stays the Buffalo Bills’ subject stretcher: Coleman was among the many league leaders in common goal depth and deep goal fee final season.
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PFF’s Fantasy Football Player Profile collection delivers probably the most in-depth fantasy soccer evaluation out there for the 2025 season.
Using PFF’s unique knowledge, we consider participant efficiency, competitors for touches and the way teammates and training staffs
Last up to date: 7:15 a.m. Wednesday, June 11
Player efficiency
The Buffalo Bills determined to utterly rework their vast receiver room after the 2023 season. Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis, Trent Sherfield and Deonte Harty all moved on, so Khalil Shakir was the lone incumbent receiver. The crew added free brokers Curtis Samuel, Mack Hollins and Marquez Valdes-Scantling along with drafting Keon Coleman with the thirty third choose of the 2024 NFL Draft.
Coleman was immediately put into the Bills’ beginning lineup as their X receiver, and he had a nice debut with 4 receptions for 51 yards. He adopted that up with no receptions in Week 2 regardless of enjoying in 91% of the Bills’ offensive snaps. The following week, he was benched for the primary quarter on account of a tardiness problem and equally didn’t play within the third quarter.
While Coleman returned to the beginning lineup in Week 4, he didn’t attain 85% of the crew’s offensive snaps once more till Week 17. From Weeks 4-8, Coleman by no means had a excessive goal fee, however he caught a number of large passes. He scored the Twenty first-most fantasy factors throughout that stretch with 12.0 factors per sport. His solely 100-yard sport was in Week 7 in opposition to the Tennessee Titans, when he caught 4 passes for 125 yards. He caught a season-high 5 receptions for 70 yards and a landing the next week.
Coleman suffered a wrist damage in Week 9, which brought about him to overlook the next 4 weeks of the season. While Coleman was off the damage report after Week 15, he by no means returned to being the identical participant he was in October. He was held to 1 reception in 5 of his remaining seven video games, together with the playoffs. In the opposite two video games, he caught three passes for 27 yards and a landing and two receptions for 31 yards.
Coleman’s play significantly stood out in opposition to man coverages, as 25% of his receptions in opposition to man resulted in touchdowns, the sixth-best fee amongst vast receivers. He averted 0.33 tackles per reception in opposition to man, second-best.
Projected position
The Bills made some adjustments at vast receiver, however nothing that ought to have a significant affect on Coleman. They moved on from Hollins and Amari Cooper and introduced in Joshua Palmer and Elijah Moore. Initially, Valdes-Scantling was Coleman’s backup, adopted by Cooper. Both Palmer and Moore are Z and slot receivers. Coleman has no apparent backup. It may very well be a mix of gamers who give Coleman a relaxation. However, the crew not having a transparent backup who can straight change Coleman is an efficient signal of confidence within the younger receiver.
Coleman’s 33.9% deep goal fee was the fourth-most amongst vast receivers with at the least 50 targets, whereas his 15.5-yard common depth of goal was the fifth-highest. Typically, gamers with that prime of a mean goal depth and deep goal fee aren’t gamers who might be fantasy starters. D.Okay. Metcalf and George Pickens are the 2 most notable receivers with a barely decrease common goal depth and deep fee. Coleman doesn’t fairly have the identical pace as these gamers, however these are the sorts of gamers Coleman can ideally turn into.
Impact of teammates
Coleman will likely be in his second season with Joe Brady as his offensive coordinator and Josh Allen as his quarterback. The Bills have a high-scoring offense the place Allen is keen to throw deep, which is a giant purpose Coleman ought to be thought-about for fantasy drafts regardless of his inconsistent play final season.
The downside is that Brady’s offensive philosophy has been to unfold the ball round to everybody on the offense. That was a giant purpose Stefon Diggs averaged 86 yards per sport earlier than Brady grew to become offensive coordinator in 2023, and 45 yards per sport after Brady took over. Nine completely different gamers had 25 or extra targets final season, whereas nobody had greater than 95. While Shakir was the highest receiver with 76 receptions, everybody else was between 17 and 44. The method that Coleman has been used already typically restricts a participant’s goal share. While there may be nonetheless room for him to obtain extra targets. There is probably going a ceiling on his fantasy manufacturing so long as Brady continues having this philosophy.
Bottom line
Keon Coleman couldn’t be relied on for fantasy soccer functions for many of final season. He’s anticipated to enhance, given his draft capital and lack of competitors for taking part in time. He is just not somebody you’ll be capable of begin each week as a result of he can have some glorious weeks and a few quiet ones, however you might be extra assured in enjoying him in opposition to a protection that makes use of a number of man protection.
Footnotes
- Statistics in tables and charts have been chosen based mostly on their capacity to foretell future fantasy efficiency on a per-game or per-opportunity foundation or to explain the participant relative to others on the similar place.
- “Opportunities” are outlined as passing dropbacks, dashing makes an attempt and routes run as a receiver.
- Numbers are supplied both by season or based mostly on the previous three years. For rookies, solely school statistics are included. For non-rookies, solely NFL statistics are thought-about, no matter whether or not they performed in school throughout the earlier three years.
- As school competitors is less complicated than NFL competitors, most rookies are prone to see a decline from their historic numbers.
- Only FBS knowledge is taken into account for faculty gamers and comparisons.
- Kneel-downs are faraway from dashing knowledge to supply cleaner quarterback dashing fee statistics.
- The desk colours on this article vary from blue (indicating good/excessive) to pink (indicating unhealthy/low).
- All percentiles and coloration codings evaluate the given participant to others with a excessive pattern of alternatives. Generally, the cutoff is one-third of the doable alternatives within the pattern. If a participant doesn’t meet the edge, they’re nonetheless included within the comparability, although their outcomes could seem higher or worse than anticipated as a result of smaller, much less predictive pattern dimension.
- Information on utilization classifications and their significance might be discovered right here for operating backs, vast receivers and tight ends.